Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Talent Showersloss 0:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Faithwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talent Showers
No games played over 6 months.
Team Faith
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
775 picks · 506 bans
Tiny
550 picks · 394 bans
Tusk
542 picks · 438 bans
Treant Protector
534 picks · 576 bans
Nature's Prophet
419 picks · 653 bans
Snapfire
398 picks · 285 bans
Death Prophet
386 picks · 716 bans
Ember Spirit
364 picks · 790 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Talent Showers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Talent Showers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:24
Talent Showers 61%Team Faith 39%
The model gave 61% on Talent Showers — the game was taken by Team Faith in 44:29.
Game 2prediction missed39:25
Talent Showers 61%Team Faith 39%
The model gave 61% on Talent Showers — the game was taken by Team Faith in 38:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteTalent Showers · 61%
Series resultTeam Faith 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2