Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
UALEIKUMNIHAOwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
willbefineloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
UALEIKUMNIHAO
No games played over 6 months.
willbefine
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
775 picks · 506 bans
Tiny
550 picks · 394 bans
Tusk
542 picks · 438 bans
Treant Protector
534 picks · 576 bans
Nature's Prophet
419 picks · 653 bans
Snapfire
398 picks · 285 bans
Death Prophet
386 picks · 716 bans
Ember Spirit
364 picks · 790 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% UALEIKUMNIHAO
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% UALEIKUMNIHAO
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:31
UALEIKUMNIHAO 50%willbefine 50%
The model gave 50% on UALEIKUMNIHAO — the game was taken by UALEIKUMNIHAO in 39:04.
Game 2prediction correct16:32
UALEIKUMNIHAO 50%willbefine 50%
The model gave 50% on UALEIKUMNIHAO — the game was taken by UALEIKUMNIHAO in 33:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteUALEIKUMNIHAO · 50%
Series resultUALEIKUMNIHAO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2