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European Pro League Season 36 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 53 games
66%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
monodrama · 45 games
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 40 games
48%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 37 games
54%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 33 games
39%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
81%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
56%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
VaniLLl · 19 games
37%
Puck
Pucksignature
young G · 13 games
62%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 12 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 11 games
45%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
ariel · 11 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 10 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 10 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 10 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
649 picks · 685 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
528 picks · 449 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
503 picks · 420 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
446 picks · 438 bans
54%
Warlock
Warlock
436 picks · 287 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
410 picks · 1112 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
405 picks · 868 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
402 picks · 186 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 51%
Hero pool strength52% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total57% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rune Eaters 43%Nemiga Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
Rune Eaters 43%Nemiga Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 57%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2