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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 1:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Infamous.Rwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 10 games
20%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 9 games
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Genek · 9 games
44%
Tusk
Tusk
Genek · 9 games
33%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Leostyle · 8 games
25%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Prada · 7 games
43%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Oscar · 6 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Prada · 6 games
50%

Infamous.R

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
765 picks · 500 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
544 picks · 382 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
538 picks · 435 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
533 picks · 579 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
411 picks · 642 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
394 picks · 277 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
382 picks · 700 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
358 picks · 774 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)28% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Infamous.R
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:25
Infinity Esports 52%Infamous.R 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 51:09.
Game 2prediction missed22:31
Infinity Esports 52%Infamous.R 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infamous.R in 41:27.
Game 3prediction missed9:39
Infinity Esports 52%Infamous.R 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infamous.R in 43:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 52%
Series resultInfamous.R 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3