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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Natus Vincereloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 13 games
62%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 12 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 11 games
73%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 11 games
73%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 9 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
Save- · 9 games
56%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
67%
Mirana
Mirana
TORONTOTOKYO · 7 games
57%

Natus Vincere

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
swedenstrong · 10 games
60%
Silencer
Silencer
Solo · 10 games
50%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
V-Tune · 9 games
78%
Visage
Visageoften banned
laise · 9 games
56%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
nicky`cool · 7 games
57%
Tiny
Tiny
swedenstrong · 7 games
14%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 7 games
43%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
No[o]ne · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
764 picks · 497 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
544 picks · 391 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
539 picks · 434 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
533 picks · 576 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
411 picks · 636 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
394 picks · 276 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
383 picks · 693 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
358 picks · 776 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total72% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:15
BETBOOM TEAM 63%Natus Vincere 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingPure~
48% · 148 games52% · 75 games
WeaverShigetsu
Weaver
Abaddon
AbaddonNightfall
54% · 64 games59% · 121 game
Storm Spiritmellojul
Storm Spirit
Leshrac
LeshracgpK~
46% · 183 games48% · 159 games
BeastmasterMalik
Beastmaster
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
48% · 59 games44% · 289 games
Rubickxsvampire
Rubick
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
56% · 234 games40% · 44 games
Ogre MagiMalady
Ogre Magi
Game 2prediction correct26:5
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Natus Vincere 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Marci
MarciPure~
51% · 243 games44% · 57 games
Drow RangerShigetsu
Drow Ranger
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyergpK~
50% · 26 games52% · 327 games
Pangoliermellojul
Pangolier
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightNightfall
50% · 161 game45% · 85 games
TidehunterMalik
Tidehunter
Pugna
PugnaSave-
46% · 76 games48% · 172 games
UndyingMalady
Undying
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
57% · 252 games53% · 117 games
Skywrath Magexsvampire
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 72%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2