Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Восточная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
UALEIKUMNIHAOloss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
qualifiers enjoyerswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
UALEIKUMNIHAO
No games played over 6 months.
qualifiers enjoyers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
764 picks · 497 bans
Tiny
544 picks · 390 bans
Tusk
539 picks · 434 bans
Treant Protector
533 picks · 576 bans
Nature's Prophet
411 picks · 636 bans
Snapfire
394 picks · 276 bans
Death Prophet
383 picks · 691 bans
Ember Spirit
358 picks · 774 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% UALEIKUMNIHAO
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% qualifiers enjoyers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:29
UALEIKUMNIHAO 49%qualifiers enjoyers 51%
The model gave 51% on qualifiers enjoyers — the game was taken by qualifiers enjoyers in 38:38.
Game 2prediction correct14:5
UALEIKUMNIHAO 49%qualifiers enjoyers 51%
The model gave 51% on qualifiers enjoyers — the game was taken by qualifiers enjoyers in 15:27.
Model check result
Model favoritequalifiers enjoyers · 51%
Series resultqualifiers enjoyers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2