Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Китай. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
爷们要战斗loss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HYPEONEwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
爷们要战斗
No games played over 6 months.
HYPEONE
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
756 picks · 483 bans
Tiny
537 picks · 387 bans
Tusk
535 picks · 445 bans
Treant Protector
531 picks · 582 bans
Nature's Prophet
410 picks · 605 bans
Snapfire
389 picks · 272 bans
Death Prophet
378 picks · 642 bans
Ember Spirit
353 picks · 756 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% 爷们要战斗
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% 爷们要战斗
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:27
爷们要战斗 55%HYPEONE 45%
The model gave 55% on 爷们要战斗 — the game was taken by HYPEONE in 26:09.
Game 2prediction correct33:19
爷们要战斗 55%HYPEONE 45%
The model gave 55% on 爷们要战斗 — the game was taken by 爷们要战斗 in 40:16.
Game 3prediction missed30:38
爷们要战斗 55%HYPEONE 45%
The model gave 55% on 爷们要战斗 — the game was taken by HYPEONE in 42:56.
Model check result
Model favorite爷们要战斗 · 55%
Series resultHYPEONE 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3