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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Resilienceloss 0:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Roar Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Resilience

Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
poyoyo · 3 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
poyoyo · 3 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 3 games
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 2 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
zzq · 2 games
100%
Techies
Techies
pLAnet · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
niu · 2 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
zzq · 2 games
100%

Roar Gaming

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RedPanda · 14 games
36%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulu · 13 games
31%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 12 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 9 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
RedPanda · 8 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 8 games
25%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 8 games
25%
Marci
Marci
Ulu · 6 games
17%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
647 picks · 688 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
524 picks · 453 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
498 picks · 421 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
434 picks · 288 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
432 picks · 427 bans
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
405 picks · 1110 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
396 picks · 865 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
391 picks · 176 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength65% Team Resilience
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Team Resilience
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:22
Team Resilience 57%Roar Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Resilience — the game was taken by Roar Gaming in 29:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritEcho
47% · 258 games52% · 232 games
BristlebackButterflyEffect
Bristleback
Monkey King
Monkey Kingpoyoyo
47% · 173 games54% · 52 games
Alchemistukiyo
Alchemist
Slardar
Slardarniu
51% · 265 games50% · 240 games
Batrider生死
Batrider
Phoenix
Phoenixzzq
50% · 217 games55% · 366 games
HoodwinkCatYou
Hoodwink
Rubick
RubickpLAnet
51% · 117 games44% · 140 games
EnchantressLOyd
Enchantress
Game 2prediction missed34:31
Team Resilience 59%Roar Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Resilience — the game was taken by Roar Gaming in 51:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerpoyoyo
47% · 35 games52% · 47 games
Alchemistukiyo
Alchemist
Sand King
Sand KingEcho
54% · 238 games59% · 247 games
Bristleback生死
Bristleback
Underlord
Underlordniu
48% · 242 games53% · 327 games
Ember SpiritButterflyEffect
Ember Spirit
Rubick
RubickpLAnet
51% · 127 games42% · 122 games
EnchantressLOyd
Enchantress
Jakiro
Jakirozzq
47% · 552 games46% · 451 game
TuskCatYou
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Resilience · 63%
Series resultRoar Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2