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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Fantasy Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ANxJELL ESPORTSloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Fantasy Gaming

Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
Arms · 1 game
0%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Arms · 1 game
0%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Arms · 1 game
0%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Arms · 1 game
0%

ANxJELL ESPORTS

Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Asao · 2 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Asao · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Asao · 1 game
100%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
NaoG · 1 game
100%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
NaoG · 1 game
0%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
NaoG · 1 game
0%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
NaoG · 1 game
100%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Asao · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
752 picks · 474 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
532 picks · 447 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
530 picks · 384 bans
51%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
528 picks · 576 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
410 picks · 596 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
385 picks · 260 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
374 picks · 630 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
351 picks · 745 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% ANxJELL ESPORTS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Fantasy Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Fantasy Gaming 59%ANxJELL ESPORTS 41%
The model gave 59% on Fantasy Gaming — the game was taken by Fantasy Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
Fantasy Gaming 59%ANxJELL ESPORTS 41%
The model gave 59% on Fantasy Gaming — the game was taken by Fantasy Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteFantasy Gaming · 59%
Series resultFantasy Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2