Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
x5 Gamingwin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TRocketloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
x5 Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
TRocket
Broodmotheroften banned
Greedy · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
Pamplona · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
Enchantress
Pamplona · 2 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
CarJua · 2 games
Rubick
Pamplona · 2 games
Underlordoften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
Undyingoften banned
Pamplona · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
752 picks · 474 bans
Tusk
532 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
530 picks · 384 bans
Treant Protector
528 picks · 576 bans
Nature's Prophet
410 picks · 596 bans
Snapfire
385 picks · 260 bans
Death Prophet
374 picks · 630 bans
Ember Spirit
351 picks · 745 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% TRocket
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% TRocket
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
x5 Gaming 48%TRocket 52%
The model gave 52% on TRocket — the game was taken by x5 Gaming.
Game 2prediction missed
x5 Gaming 48%TRocket 52%
The model gave 52% on TRocket — the game was taken by x5 Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteTRocket · 52%
Series resultx5 Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2