Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Daggerloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Unity Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Dagger
No games played over 6 months.
Unity Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
752 picks · 472 bans
Tusk
531 picks · 454 bans
Tiny
530 picks · 386 bans
Treant Protector
528 picks · 578 bans
Nature's Prophet
409 picks · 593 bans
Snapfire
385 picks · 261 bans
Death Prophet
374 picks · 626 bans
Ember Spirit
351 picks · 749 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Dagger
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Dagger
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Dagger 56%Unity Esports 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Dagger — the game was taken by Unity Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Dagger 56%Unity Esports 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Dagger — the game was taken by Unity Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Dagger · 56%
Series resultUnity Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2