Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Китай. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ybb Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Tusksignature
Frisk · 10 games
Morphlingsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
Rubicksignature
fy · 9 games
Earthshaker
Frisk · 8 games
Clockwerksignature
Yang · 7 games
Death Prophetsignature
Setsu · 7 games
Marssignature
niu · 7 games
Primal Beastsignature
niu · 6 games
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
744 picks · 471 bans
Tusk
529 picks · 458 bans
Tiny
528 picks · 384 bans
Treant Protector
527 picks · 574 bans
Nature's Prophet
411 picks · 586 bans
Snapfire
383 picks · 258 bans
Death Prophet
371 picks · 618 bans
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 745 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 86%
Hero pool strength61% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total54% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:11
Vici Gaming 54%Ybb Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 32:59.
Game 2prediction correct31:26
Vici Gaming 54%Ybb Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 35:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 54%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2