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The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Geek Famloss 1:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Geek Fam

Rubick
Rubick
NARMAN · 19 games
58%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
ace12 · 14 games
50%
Marci
Marcisignature
NARMAN · 13 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfire
NARMAN · 13 games
46%
Tusk
Tusk
NARMAN · 12 games
58%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
423 · 9 games
33%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Force · 8 games
63%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
NARMAN · 8 games
38%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 16 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
69%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 13 games
54%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 10 games
70%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 9 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 8 games
63%
Lina
Linasignature
Pure~ · 6 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
745 picks · 468 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
615 picks · 560 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
585 picks · 463 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
529 picks · 580 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
405 picks · 239 bans
44%
Mirana
Mirana
395 picks · 386 bans
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
387 picks · 568 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
380 picks · 591 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:34
Geek Fam 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:10:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSkem
37% · 104 games56% · 119 games
LeshracgpK~
Leshrac
Batrider
BatriderForce
44% · 190 games55% · 97 games
MarsNightfall
Mars
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterNARMAN
53% · 7 games59% · 89 games
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
Mirana
Zeus
ZeusRoddgeee
46% · 91 game53% · 30 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
60% · 57 games
Naga SirenPure~
Naga Siren
Game 2prediction missed33:13
Geek Fam 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 39:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerSkem
38% · 96 games56% · 99 games
Faceless VoidPure~
Faceless Void
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightForce
42% · 260 games56% · 134 games
EnigmaNightfall
Enigma
Tusk
TuskNARMAN
47% · 467 games54% · 152 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Undying
UndyingRoddgeee
48% · 269 games51% · 499 games
TinySave-
Tiny
64% · 208 games
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2