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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Power Rangersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 46 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 39 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 36 games
58%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 26 games
65%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 26 games
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 26 games
54%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 23 games
70%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Immersion · 21 game
52%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 18 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 18 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 17 games
71%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 17 games
53%
Mars
Marssignature
Alberkaaa · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
642 picks · 691 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
522 picks · 455 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
497 picks · 417 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
435 picks · 288 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
427 picks · 419 bans
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
404 picks · 1106 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
394 picks · 856 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
384 picks · 627 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 61%
Hero pool strength52% Power Rangers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:19
BETBOOM TEAM 68%Power Rangers 32%
The model gave 68% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezKiritych
42% · 116 games47% · 174 games
MuertaTA2000
Muerta
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
46% · 303 games53% · 285 games
Pucknicky`cool
Puck
Tidehunter
TidehunterMieRo
50% · 229 games58% · 246 games
SlardarAlberkaaa
Slardar
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
50% · 302 games56% · 262 games
HoodwinkImmersion
Hoodwink
Lich
LichKataomi
39% · 21 game63% · 4 games
Winter WyvernHduo
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct34:30
BETBOOM TEAM 68%Power Rangers 32%
The model gave 68% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 54:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezKiritych
49% · 124 games49% · 406 games
TinyTA2000
Tiny
Timbersaw
TimbersawMieRo
54% · 217 games53% · 279 games
Slardarnicky`cool
Slardar
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
47% · 319 games38% · 9 games
Legion CommanderAlberkaaa
Legion Commander
Silencer
SilencerKataomi
40% · 107 games52% · 214 games
PhoenixImmersion
Phoenix
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
53% · 320 games54% · 179 games
ChenHduo
Chen
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 83%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2