The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 15 games
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 12 games
Rubick
Save- · 12 games
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 9 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 8 games
Tinysignature
Save- · 8 games
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 8 games
Linasignature
Pure~ · 6 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
739 picks · 464 bans
Tusk
614 picks · 554 bans
Tiny
574 picks · 463 bans
Treant Protector
519 picks · 575 bans
Snapfire
402 picks · 235 bans
Mirana
394 picks · 388 bans
Nature's Prophet
379 picks · 560 bans
Death Prophet
375 picks · 583 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 48%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total51% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:37
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Entity 51%
The model gave 51% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 1:00:03.
Game 2prediction correct8:31
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Entity 51%
The model gave 51% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 42:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 51%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2