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The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Antarctic Penguinsloss 0:2
series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Antarctic Penguins

Tiny
Tinysignature
Kaka · 13 games
62%
Rubick
Rubick
FelixCiaoBa · 12 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
AlaCrity · 9 games
89%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
eGo · 9 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
XCJ · 8 games
75%
Lich
Lichsignature
xNova · 7 games
71%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Kaka · 7 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
FelixCiaoBa · 7 games
43%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 15 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 11 games
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 10 games
70%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 8 games
75%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 8 games
63%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 8 games
75%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 7 games
71%
Lina
Linasignature
Pure~ · 6 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
730 picks · 463 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
609 picks · 553 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
574 picks · 458 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
515 picks · 571 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
397 picks · 232 bans
45%
Mirana
Mirana
394 picks · 388 bans
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
375 picks · 552 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
372 picks · 577 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:31
Antarctic Penguins 28%BETBOOM TEAM 72%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangereGo
44% · 84 games54% · 207 games
LeshracgpK~
Leshrac
Tusk
TuskAlaCrity
49% · 265 games48% · 117 games
LycanNightfall
Lycan
Rubick
RubickFelixCiaoBa
46% · 273 games64% · 82 games
SniperPure~
Sniper
Silencer
SilencerXCJ
41% · 137 games51% · 290 games
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
Clockwerk
58% · 63 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction correct10:23
Antarctic Penguins 30%BETBOOM TEAM 70%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's PropheteGo
54% · 278 games48% · 176 games
TerrorbladePure~
Terrorblade
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightAlaCrity
53% · 182 games55% · 142 games
LeshracgpK~
Leshrac
Hoodwink
HoodwinkFelixCiaoBa
41% · 275 games44% · 139 games
DawnbreakerNightfall
Dawnbreaker
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorXCJ
55% · 357 games45% · 401 game
RubickSave-
Rubick
53% · 234 games
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 84%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2