The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tusksignature
Boxi · 24 games
Enigmasignature
zai · 17 games
Pudgesignature
MATUMBAMAN · 16 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
miCKe · 16 games
Snapfiresignature
iNSaNiA · 15 games
Undyingsignature
iNSaNiA · 14 games
Leshracsignature
miCKe · 13 games
Pangoliersignature
miCKe · 13 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
730 picks · 463 bans
Tusk
609 picks · 553 bans
Tiny
574 picks · 458 bans
Treant Protector
515 picks · 571 bans
Snapfire
397 picks · 232 bans
Mirana
394 picks · 388 bans
Nature's Prophet
375 picks · 552 bans
Death Prophet
372 picks · 577 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 60%
Hero pool strength63% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:15
Team Liquid 72%beastcoast 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 34:36.
Game 2prediction correct27:13
Team Liquid 72%beastcoast 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 21:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 72%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2