The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
HellRaisersloss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
728 picks · 463 bans
Tusk
608 picks · 552 bans
Tiny
571 picks · 457 bans
Treant Protector
514 picks · 569 bans
Snapfire
397 picks · 230 bans
Mirana
394 picks · 387 bans
Nature's Prophet
374 picks · 551 bans
Death Prophet
371 picks · 575 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 47%
Hero pool strength50% HellRaisers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:25
HellRaisers 32%Entity 68%
The model gave 68% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 45:19.
Game 2prediction correct34:18
HellRaisers 32%Entity 68%
The model gave 68% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 33:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 68%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2