The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 1:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 12 games
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
Rubick
Save- · 9 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 8 games
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 8 games
Linasignature
Pure~ · 6 games
Tinysignature
Save- · 6 games
Leshracoften banned
gpK~ · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
707 picks · 448 bans
Tusk
595 picks · 551 bans
Tiny
562 picks · 450 bans
Treant Protector
506 picks · 558 bans
Snapfire
392 picks · 220 bans
Mirana
391 picks · 385 bans
Nature's Prophet
361 picks · 525 bans
Death Prophet
359 picks · 557 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 64%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:16
beastcoast 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on beastcoast — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:33.
Game 2prediction missed13:35
beastcoast 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on beastcoast — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:44.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 50%
Accuracy by game0 of 2