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The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Cr1t- · 13 games
85%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Arteezy · 12 games
75%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Cr1t- · 9 games
67%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Abed · 9 games
78%
Sven
Svensignature
Fly · 9 games
67%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Abed · 9 games
78%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Nightfall · 8 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 8 games
63%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 11 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 7 games
86%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 6 games
100%
Lina
Linasignature
Pure~ · 6 games
83%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 6 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 6 games
100%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 5 games
60%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
gpK~ · 4 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
684 picks · 434 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
586 picks · 540 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
560 picks · 443 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
490 picks · 548 bans
57%
Mirana
Mirana
393 picks · 382 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
385 picks · 213 bans
43%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
349 picks · 537 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
345 picks · 501 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 82%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:18
Shopify Rebellion 45%BETBOOM TEAM 55%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 56:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerArteezy
48% · 100 games44% · 93 games
TerrorbladePure~
Terrorblade
Zeus
ZeusAbed
46% · 108 games53% · 148 games
LeshracgpK~
Leshrac
Enigma
EnigmaSabeRLight-
55% · 239 games46% · 109 games
Primal BeastNightfall
Primal Beast
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerCr1t-
60% · 51 game44% · 249 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Undying
UndyingFly
54% · 257 games52% · 156 games
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction missed31:28
Shopify Rebellion 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 45:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSabeRLight-
51% · 269 games42% · 71 game
SniperPure~
Sniper
Leshrac
LeshracAbed
53% · 235 games44% · 260 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Razor
RazorArteezy
54% · 179 games49% · 133 games
Dragon KnightNightfall
Dragon Knight
Undying
UndyingFly
53% · 251 game42% · 309 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerCr1t-
64% · 54 games51% · 215 games
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 59%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2