?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Западная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
D2 Hustlerswin 2:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Water Rune Enjoyersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

D2 Hustlers

No games played over 6 months.

Water Rune Enjoyers

Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
BliNcc · 15 games
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Mary_y · 13 games
31%
Rubick
Rubick
y0nd · 13 games
31%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mary_y · 12 games
75%
Tusk
Tusk
Stojkov · 11 games
27%
Razor
Razoroften banned
BliNcc · 10 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
y0nd · 10 games
40%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
y0nd · 10 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
650 picks · 422 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
570 picks · 540 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
550 picks · 438 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
461 picks · 534 bans
55%
Mirana
Mirana
386 picks · 386 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
376 picks · 207 bans
44%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
333 picks · 510 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
332 picks · 216 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 35%
Hero pool strength53% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:35
D2 Hustlers 77%Water Rune Enjoyers 23%
The model gave 77% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Water Rune Enjoyers in 54:31.
Game 2prediction missed35:36
D2 Hustlers 77%Water Rune Enjoyers 23%
The model gave 77% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Water Rune Enjoyers in 50:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 77%
Series resultD2 Hustlers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2