Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Disillusionloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Disillusion
Death Prophetoften banned
Killa · 3 games
Rubick
Eren · 3 games
Snapfire
Eren · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
Killa · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Killa · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
天命 · 2 games
Doomoften banned
Killa · 2 games
Hoodwink
Sj · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
632 picks · 411 bans
Tusk
553 picks · 531 bans
Tiny
541 picks · 432 bans
Treant Protector
440 picks · 522 bans
Mirana
380 picks · 383 bans
Snapfire
366 picks · 202 bans
Clockwerk
324 picks · 213 bans
Death Prophet
322 picks · 488 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)86% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Team Disillusion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:9
Ybb Gaming 81%Team Disillusion 19%
The model gave 81% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Team Disillusion in 33:51.
Game 2prediction missed7:33
Ybb Gaming 81%Team Disillusion 19%
The model gave 81% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Team Disillusion in 20:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 81%
Series resultYbb Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2