BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Alliance.LATAMloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Alliance.LATAM
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
618 picks · 398 bans
Tusk
545 picks · 527 bans
Tiny
529 picks · 431 bans
Treant Protector
426 picks · 511 bans
Mirana
376 picks · 373 bans
Snapfire
355 picks · 197 bans
Clockwerk
318 picks · 208 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 771 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)77% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% beastcoast
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:23
beastcoast 74%Alliance.LATAM 26%
The model gave 74% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Alliance.LATAM in 42:45.
Game 2prediction missed34:19
beastcoast 74%Alliance.LATAM 26%
The model gave 74% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Alliance.LATAM in 28:29.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 74%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2