Cheatbanned vs YBN Team — prediction BSB · Dota 2

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BetBoom Streamers Battle · BO2

result vs prediction

CCheatbannedloss 0:2

series probability

41%59%

probability at match start · final 0:2

YBN Teamwin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Cheatbanned

Phoenix

seregga · 1 game

Rikioften banned

seregga · 1 game

Treant Protectoroften banned

Cheatbanned · 1 game

Undyingoften banned

Cheatbanned · 1 game

YBN Team

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Rubick

614 picks · 395 bans

53%

Tusk

541 picks · 526 bans

53%

Tiny

529 picks · 430 bans

48%

Treant Protector

423 picks · 504 bans

56%

Mirana

376 picks · 372 bans

54%

Snapfire

353 picks · 193 bans

45%

Clockwerk

317 picks · 207 bans

58%

Ember Spirit

315 picks · 766 bans

48%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%

Hero pool strength55% YBN Team

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total59% YBN Team

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct13:30

Cheatbanned 44%YBN Team 56%

The model gave 56% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 27:53.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo

Phoenixseregga

51% · 87 games27% · 7 games

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