Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Mystiqueloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Mystique
Rubick
Drink · 6 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
zone- · 5 games
Marcioften banned
Victoria · 4 games
Dragon Knight
zone- · 3 games
Mirana
Drink · 3 games
Slarkoften banned
Lin · 3 games
Snapfire
rayy · 3 games
Clockwerk
rayy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
610 picks · 393 bans
Tusk
541 picks · 523 bans
Tiny
529 picks · 431 bans
Treant Protector
419 picks · 499 bans
Mirana
379 picks · 372 bans
Snapfire
354 picks · 188 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 764 bans
Clockwerk
313 picks · 206 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)85% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Ybb Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:16
Ybb Gaming 86%Team Mystique 14%
The model gave 86% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Team Mystique in 31:12.
Game 2prediction missed10:45
Ybb Gaming 86%Team Mystique 14%
The model gave 86% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Team Mystique in 27:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 86%
Series resultYbb Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2