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BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliance.LATAMwin 2:0
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Thunder Awakenloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Alliance.LATAM

No games played over 6 months.

Thunder Awaken

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 22 games
55%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Michael · 22 games
68%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 17 games
53%
Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 14 games
43%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Sacred · 12 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
DarkMago · 11 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Michael · 11 games
45%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
603 picks · 391 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
535 picks · 519 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
524 picks · 430 bans
48%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
416 picks · 497 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
376 picks · 370 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
352 picks · 188 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
312 picks · 759 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
308 picks · 205 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total63% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:29
Alliance.LATAM 37%Thunder Awaken 63%
The model gave 63% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 31:00.
Game 2prediction correct59:39
Alliance.LATAM 37%Thunder Awaken 63%
The model gave 63% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 1:06:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 63%
Series resultAlliance.LATAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2