BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Blacklist Internationalloss 1:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Talon Esportswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
Talon Esports
Tusk
Q · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
Mikoto · 14 games
Rubicksignature
Q · 13 games
Enchantressoften banned
Hyde · 11 games
Marcioften banned
Q · 11 games
Undyingoften banned
Hyde · 11 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
kpii · 9 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Mikoto · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
594 picks · 388 bans
Tusk
531 picks · 519 bans
Tiny
524 picks · 431 bans
Treant Protector
411 picks · 488 bans
Mirana
377 picks · 368 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 184 bans
Ember Spirit
310 picks · 756 bans
Clockwerk
307 picks · 201 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 64%
Hero pool strength53% Talon Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:18
Blacklist International 39%Talon Esports 61%
The model gave 61% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 35:57.
Game 2prediction correct31:31
Blacklist International 39%Talon Esports 61%
The model gave 61% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 1:09:46.
Game 3prediction correct3:18
Blacklist International 39%Talon Esports 61%
The model gave 61% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 40:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 61%
Series resultTalon Esports 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3