?
arrow_backBack to match
BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Alliance.LATAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Mirana
Miranasignature
Cr1t- · 9 games
67%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Arteezy · 9 games
78%
Sven
Svensignature
Fly · 9 games
67%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Abed · 9 games
78%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Cr1t- · 8 games
88%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Nightfall · 7 games
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 7 games
57%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Abed · 7 games
71%

Alliance.LATAM

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
589 picks · 386 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
527 picks · 517 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
520 picks · 428 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
410 picks · 477 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
375 picks · 364 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
344 picks · 183 bans
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
307 picks · 200 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
307 picks · 749 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 43%
Hero pool strength59% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:23
Shopify Rebellion 74%Alliance.LATAM 26%
The model gave 74% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 38:24.
Game 2prediction correct50:30
Shopify Rebellion 74%Alliance.LATAM 26%
The model gave 74% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 51:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 74%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2