BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO5
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 3:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Team Spiritloss 2:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Miranasignature
Sneyking · 16 games
Tinysignature
Saksa · 14 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Sneyking · 13 games
Chaos Knightsignature
Skiter · 12 games
Naga Sirensignature
Skiter · 12 games
Tusksignature
Nine · 12 games
Visagesignature
33 · 12 games
Doomsignature
33 · 11 games
Team Spirit
Rubicksignature
Mira · 19 games
Tiny
Mira · 19 games
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 16 games
Tusksignature
Larl · 16 games
Clockwerksignature
Mira · 13 games
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 13 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 11 games
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
585 picks · 386 bans
Tusk
525 picks · 514 bans
Tiny
521 picks · 427 bans
Treant Protector
406 picks · 475 bans
Mirana
372 picks · 361 bans
Snapfire
342 picks · 180 bans
Clockwerk
307 picks · 198 bans
Ember Spirit
305 picks · 747 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 79%
Hero pool strength51% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total54% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:31
Tundra Esports 55%Team Spirit 45%
The model gave 55% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 1:08:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Enigma33
MorphlingYatoro
Spirit BreakerNine
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
TinySaksa
PangolierLarl
UndyingSneyking
RubickMira
Naga SirenSkiter
SilencerMiposhka
Game 2prediction correct31:29
Tundra Esports 53%Team Spirit 47%
The model gave 53% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 1:00:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos KnightSkiter
AlchemistYatoro
LinaNine
LeshracLarl
Enigma33
MarsCollapse
Monkey KingSaksa
RubickMira
PhoenixSneyking
Treant ProtectorMiposhka
Game 3prediction missed9:54
Tundra Esports 52%Team Spirit 48%
The model gave 52% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 43:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaSkiter
SvenYatoro
Tidehunter33
Storm SpiritLarl
Ember SpiritNine
MagnusCollapse
TinySaksa
RubickMira
Treant ProtectorSneyking
Shadow DemonMiposhka
Game 4prediction missed8:18
Tundra Esports 54%Team Spirit 46%
The model gave 54% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 23:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom33
TerrorbladeYatoro
Phantom LancerSkiter
TidehunterCollapse
TuskNine
SnapfireLarl
MiranaSneyking
RubickMira
RikiSaksa
UndyingMiposhka
Game 5prediction correct35:28
Tundra Esports 51%Team Spirit 49%
The model gave 51% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 54:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos KnightSkiter
Shadow FiendYatoro
Doom33
SlardarCollapse
TimbersawNine
TuskLarl
RubickSaksa
UndyingMiposhka
SnapfireSneyking
IoMira
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 54%
Series resultTundra Esports 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5