BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 14 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 12 games
Rubick
tOfu · 12 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 11 games
Pudgesignature
dyrachyo · 10 games
Silencersignature
tOfu · 10 games
Hoodwink
tOfu · 9 games
Iosignature
Seleri · 9 games
Team Spirit
Rubicksignature
Mira · 19 games
Tiny
Mira · 19 games
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 16 games
Tusksignature
Larl · 16 games
Clockwerksignature
Mira · 13 games
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 13 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 11 games
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
581 picks · 385 bans
Tusk
523 picks · 515 bans
Tiny
519 picks · 427 bans
Treant Protector
403 picks · 474 bans
Mirana
372 picks · 360 bans
Snapfire
341 picks · 179 bans
Clockwerk
307 picks · 198 bans
Ember Spirit
305 picks · 744 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 78%
Hero pool strength57% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total61% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:61
Gaimin Gladiators 46%Team Spirit 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 1:04:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PangolierQuinn
SniperYatoro
Nature's ProphetAce
Storm SpiritLarl
Lifestealerdyrachyo
TidehunterCollapse
TinytOfu
Treant ProtectorMiposhka
RubickSeleri
HoodwinkMira
Game 2prediction correct22:54
Gaimin Gladiators 44%Team Spirit 56%
The model gave 56% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 47:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophetdyrachyo
MarciYatoro
DoomAce
SnapfireLarl
PangolierQuinn
MagnusCollapse
TusktOfu
TinyMira
HoodwinkSeleri
RubickMiposhka
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 61%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2