Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Big Brainloss 0:2series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Big Brain
Death Prophetsignature
Molasses · 6 games
Snapfire
Helios · 5 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Manic · 4 games
Tiny
marblue · 4 games
Clockwerk
Tz. · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Tz. · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Molasses · 2 games
Hoodwink
Hara · 2 games
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
579 picks · 385 bans
Tusk
523 picks · 514 bans
Tiny
516 picks · 429 bans
Treant Protector
402 picks · 471 bans
Mirana
372 picks · 360 bans
Snapfire
339 picks · 179 bans
Clockwerk
306 picks · 197 bans
Ember Spirit
304 picks · 741 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 83%
Hero pool strength51% Big Brain
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:28
Big Brain 27%Ybb Gaming 73%
The model gave 73% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 34:21.
Game 2prediction correct6:21
Big Brain 27%Ybb Gaming 73%
The model gave 73% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 15:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 73%
Series resultYbb Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2