BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
nounswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
nouns
Tusk
Gunnar · 13 games
Rubicksignature
Lelis · 10 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Moo · 9 games
Miranasignature
ZfreeK · 6 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Moo · 6 games
Tinysignature
Gunnar · 6 games
Vipersignature
Gunnar · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
Moo · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
570 picks · 379 bans
Tusk
516 picks · 507 bans
Tiny
506 picks · 428 bans
Treant Protector
396 picks · 461 bans
Mirana
369 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
337 picks · 175 bans
Clockwerk
304 picks · 193 bans
Ember Spirit
300 picks · 732 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)83% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:24
beastcoast 68%nouns 32%
The model gave 68% on beastcoast — the game was taken by nouns in 41:36.
Game 2prediction missed30:17
beastcoast 68%nouns 32%
The model gave 68% on beastcoast — the game was taken by nouns in 31:21.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 68%
Series resultnouns 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2