BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Entityloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Rubicksignature
Mira · 19 games
Tiny
Mira · 19 games
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 15 games
Tusksignature
Larl · 15 games
Clockwerksignature
Mira · 12 games
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 12 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 11 games
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 11 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
570 picks · 376 bans
Tusk
515 picks · 507 bans
Tiny
505 picks · 428 bans
Treant Protector
396 picks · 458 bans
Mirana
368 picks · 357 bans
Snapfire
336 picks · 174 bans
Clockwerk
303 picks · 193 bans
Ember Spirit
300 picks · 731 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)77% vs 52%
Hero pool strength62% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:42
Team Spirit 60%Entity 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Entity in 48:14.
Game 2prediction correct41:10
Team Spirit 60%Entity 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 38:07.
Game 3prediction correct29:25
Team Spirit 60%Entity 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 34:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 60%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3