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BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 12 games
67%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 12 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
tOfu · 12 games
58%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 11 games
64%
Silencer
Silencersignature
tOfu · 10 games
60%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 9 games
78%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
BOOM · 9 games
78%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 8 games
38%

Tundra Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
Sneyking · 16 games
75%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Saksa · 14 games
93%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Sneyking · 13 games
77%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
Skiter · 12 games
92%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Nine · 12 games
75%
Visage
Visagesignature
33 · 12 games
75%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Skiter · 11 games
64%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 11 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
566 picks · 373 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
514 picks · 505 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
503 picks · 427 bans
48%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
393 picks · 455 bans
57%
Mirana
Mirana
368 picks · 355 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
334 picks · 173 bans
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
300 picks · 190 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
299 picks · 727 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total63% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:42
Gaimin Gladiators 46%Tundra Esports 54%
The model gave 54% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 51:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawAce
54% · 142 games41% · 85 games
TerrorbladeNightfall
Terrorblade
Pudge
Pudgedyrachyo
52% · 123 games57% · 76 games
Primal BeastTopson
Primal Beast
Huskar
HuskarQuinn
58% · 24 games46% · 112 games
Broodmother33
Broodmother
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSeleri
45% · 212 games47% · 123 games
ClockwerkSneyking
Clockwerk
Riki
RikitOfu
63% · 78 games44% · 183 games
RubickSaksa
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct24:41
Gaimin Gladiators 42%Tundra Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 42:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
53% · 348 games47% · 153 games
Chaos KnightNightfall
Chaos Knight
Tidehunter
TidehunterAce
52% · 113 games54% · 321 game
PangolierTopson
Pangolier
Pudge
Pudgedyrachyo
46% · 102 games50% · 157 games
Broodmother33
Broodmother
Hoodwink
HoodwinktOfu
48% · 288 games48% · 101 game
PhoenixSneyking
Phoenix
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSeleri
51% · 202 games49% · 321 game
RubickSaksa
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 63%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2