BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:1series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Allianceloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Tiny
Mira · 19 games
Rubicksignature
Mira · 17 games
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 15 games
Tusksignature
Larl · 14 games
Clockwerksignature
Miposhka · 13 games
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
Collapse · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 10 games
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
557 picks · 370 bans
Tusk
516 picks · 503 bans
Tiny
502 picks · 427 bans
Treant Protector
385 picks · 453 bans
Mirana
365 picks · 356 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 171 bans
Ember Spirit
298 picks · 722 bans
Clockwerk
296 picks · 188 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 67%
Hero pool strength61% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:28
Team Spirit 80%Alliance 20%
The model gave 80% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 49:27.
Game 2prediction missed13:44
Team Spirit 80%Alliance 20%
The model gave 80% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Alliance in 43:17.
Game 3prediction correct37:19
Team Spirit 80%Alliance 20%
The model gave 80% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 34:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 80%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3