BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ravensloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Ravens
Rubick
d1smar · 13 games
Tiny
d1smar · 12 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Cara · 11 games
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 11 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Benjaz · 10 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 8 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
DaaD- · 8 games
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
553 picks · 365 bans
Tusk
515 picks · 499 bans
Tiny
500 picks · 427 bans
Treant Protector
376 picks · 453 bans
Mirana
362 picks · 356 bans
Snapfire
329 picks · 170 bans
Clockwerk
295 picks · 186 bans
Ember Spirit
293 picks · 717 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)82% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% beastcoast
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total78% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:23
beastcoast 78%Ravens 22%
The model gave 78% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Ravens in 32:24.
Game 2prediction missed31:21
beastcoast 78%Ravens 22%
The model gave 78% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Ravens in 34:50.
Game 3prediction missed39:41
beastcoast 78%Ravens 22%
The model gave 78% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Ravens in 49:14.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 78%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3