BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
XERXIAloss 1:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Blacklist Internationalwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
546 picks · 360 bans
Tusk
510 picks · 495 bans
Tiny
493 picks · 427 bans
Treant Protector
374 picks · 449 bans
Mirana
358 picks · 352 bans
Snapfire
326 picks · 166 bans
Clockwerk
291 picks · 184 bans
Ember Spirit
290 picks · 713 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 54%
Hero pool strength50% XERXIA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:28
XERXIA 41%Blacklist International 59%
The model gave 59% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 48:54.
Game 2prediction correct29:23
XERXIA 41%Blacklist International 59%
The model gave 59% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 40:47.
Game 3prediction correct31:16
XERXIA 41%Blacklist International 59%
The model gave 59% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 44:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 59%
Series resultBlacklist International 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3