Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Ybb Gamingwin 1:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Limitloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Limit
Tusksignature
Echo · 10 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Victoria · 8 games
Tinysignature
Yds · 7 games
Doomoften banned
Srf · 5 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Xm · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Srf · 4 games
Hoodwink
Yds · 4 games
Lich
Victoria · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
543 picks · 360 bans
Tusk
508 picks · 494 bans
Tiny
492 picks · 426 bans
Treant Protector
373 picks · 448 bans
Mirana
356 picks · 351 bans
Snapfire
326 picks · 165 bans
Clockwerk
290 picks · 184 bans
Ember Spirit
289 picks · 712 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)82% vs 67%
Hero pool strength63% Limit
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:19
Ybb Gaming 60%Limit 40%
The model gave 60% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Limit in 22:17.
Game 2prediction missed14:27
Ybb Gaming 60%Limit 40%
The model gave 60% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Limit in 47:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 60%
Series resultYbb Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2