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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Talon Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 20 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 17 games
47%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 17 games
41%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Yopaj · 15 games
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Tims · 14 games
43%
Tusk
Tusk
Tims · 13 games
38%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Skem · 13 games
62%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Yopaj · 11 games
64%

Talon Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Mikoto · 14 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
Q · 13 games
46%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Q · 12 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Hyde · 11 games
45%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Q · 11 games
55%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Hyde · 11 games
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
kpii · 9 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Q · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
542 picks · 359 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
506 picks · 494 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
491 picks · 426 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
373 picks · 448 bans
57%
Mirana
Mirana
356 picks · 350 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
325 picks · 165 bans
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
290 picks · 184 bans
59%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
289 picks · 710 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% Talon Esports
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total57% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:35
BOOM Esports 52%Talon Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 42:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkNatsumi
54% · 81 game56% · 222 games
Templar AssassinMikoto
Templar Assassin
Kunkka
KunkkaYopaj
52% · 89 games52% · 100 games
BroodmotherJabz
Broodmother
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightFbz
55% · 111 games49% · 46 games
Night Stalker23savage
Night Stalker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightXepher
46% · 107 games51% · 205 games
TuskQ
Tusk
Snapfire
SnapfirexNova
41% · 267 games46% · 82 games
SilencerOli
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed27:33
BOOM Esports 51%Talon Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 40:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaNatsumi
44% · 228 games52% · 253 games
Templar AssassinMikoto
Templar Assassin
Brewmaster
BrewmasterFbz
47% · 60 games61% · 88 games
Slark23savage
Slark
Tiny
TinyYopaj
51% · 561 game51% · 450 games
TuskJabz
Tusk
Hoodwink
HoodwinkXepher
43% · 219 games51% · 466 games
RubickQ
Rubick
Marci
MarcixNova
50% · 212 games46% · 23 games
Elder TitanOli
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 57%
Series resultTalon Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2