BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliancewin 2:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Virtus.pro
Tiny
sayuw · 20 games
Clockwerk
Dukalis · 14 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 14 games
Rubick
sayuw · 14 games
Disruptor
Xakoda · 12 games
Linasignature
gpK~ · 12 games
Undyingoften banned
Xakoda · 12 games
Mirana
sayuw · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
533 picks · 357 bans
Tusk
504 picks · 487 bans
Tiny
488 picks · 425 bans
Treant Protector
371 picks · 439 bans
Mirana
356 picks · 346 bans
Snapfire
320 picks · 164 bans
Ember Spirit
288 picks · 704 bans
Clockwerk
286 picks · 178 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:19
Alliance 38%Virtus.pro 62%
The model gave 62% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Alliance in 39:01.
Game 2prediction missed37:6
Alliance 38%Virtus.pro 62%
The model gave 62% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Alliance in 28:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 62%
Series resultAlliance 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2