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BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:1
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:1
PSG Questloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Tiny
Tinysignature
Mira · 17 games
65%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Mira · 15 games
73%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 13 games
85%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Mira · 12 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Larl · 12 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 11 games
64%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 10 games
90%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 10 games
90%

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 17 games
82%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Kaori · 12 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Kaori · 10 games
90%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
No!ob · 9 games
78%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 8 games
63%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Wuiter · 8 games
88%
Batrider
Batridersignature
No!ob · 7 games
86%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
TA2000 · 7 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
529 picks · 358 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
500 picks · 488 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
485 picks · 426 bans
48%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
371 picks · 433 bans
57%
Mirana
Mirana
354 picks · 347 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
319 picks · 161 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
289 picks · 698 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
282 picks · 178 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)79% vs 83%
Hero pool strength56% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:30
Team Spirit 66%PSG Quest 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 45:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperLarl
50% · 49 games51% · 234 games
LinaTA2000
Lina
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightYatoro
51% · 123 games51% · 222 games
LeshracNo!ob
Leshrac
Enigma
EnigmaCollapse
51% · 153 games50% · 27 games
Witch DoctorWuiter
Witch Doctor
Mirana
MiranaMiposhka
45% · 194 games50% · 152 games
IoOmaR
Io
Tiny
TinyMira
51% · 457 games49% · 341 game
ClockwerkKaori
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct36:42
Team Spirit 65%PSG Quest 35%
The model gave 65% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 46:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetYatoro
48% · 203 games47% · 85 games
SlarkTA2000
Slark
Sniper
SniperLarl
46% · 91 game48% · 333 games
Death ProphetNo!ob
Death Prophet
Beastmaster
BeastmasterCollapse
56% · 276 games49% · 103 games
TidehunterWuiter
Tidehunter
Rubick
RubickMira
47% · 417 games56% · 124 games
PhoenixKaori
Phoenix
Clockwerk
ClockwerkMiposhka
52% · 316 games50% · 658 games
TinyOmaR
Tiny
Game 3prediction correct29:13
Team Spirit 66%PSG Quest 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 22:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperYatoro
44% · 115 games52% · 207 games
MorphlingTA2000
Morphling
Beastmaster
BeastmasterCollapse
54% · 371 game53% · 281 game
PuckNo!ob
Puck
Pangolier
PangolierLarl
51% · 461 game50% · 360 games
Death ProphetWuiter
Death Prophet
Rubick
RubickMira
46% · 514 games51% · 767 games
TinyOmaR
Tiny
Tusk
TuskMiposhka
52% · 464 games48% · 310 games
ClockwerkKaori
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 80%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3