BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Alliance.LATAMwin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Runesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance.LATAM
No games played over 6 months.
No Runes
Crystal Maiden
Nuages · 3 games
Snapfire
Nuages · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
Hyko · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 2 games
Marcioften banned
Jupiter · 2 games
Mirana
Jupiter · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
519 picks · 354 bans
Tusk
493 picks · 483 bans
Tiny
478 picks · 425 bans
Treant Protector
365 picks · 427 bans
Mirana
350 picks · 342 bans
Snapfire
313 picks · 160 bans
Ember Spirit
281 picks · 690 bans
Clockwerk
273 picks · 177 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% No Runes
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Alliance.LATAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:1
Alliance.LATAM 76%No Runes 24%
The model gave 76% on Alliance.LATAM — the game was taken by No Runes in 25:17.
Game 2prediction missed15:10
Alliance.LATAM 76%No Runes 24%
The model gave 76% on Alliance.LATAM — the game was taken by No Runes in 27:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance.LATAM · 76%
Series resultAlliance.LATAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2