BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HellRaisersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Miranasignature
Sneyking · 14 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Sneyking · 13 games
Tinysignature
Saksa · 13 games
Visagesignature
33 · 12 games
Chaos Knightsignature
Skiter · 11 games
Naga Sirensignature
Skiter · 11 games
Tusksignature
Nine · 11 games
Beastmasteroften banned
33 · 9 games
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
513 picks · 349 bans
Tusk
489 picks · 481 bans
Tiny
477 picks · 420 bans
Treant Protector
360 picks · 416 bans
Mirana
354 picks · 342 bans
Snapfire
306 picks · 161 bans
Ember Spirit
278 picks · 688 bans
Pangolier
267 picks · 631 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 64%
Hero pool strength63% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:16
Tundra Esports 82%HellRaisers 18%
The model gave 82% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 39:42.
Game 2prediction correct27:14
Tundra Esports 82%HellRaisers 18%
The model gave 82% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 32:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 82%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2