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BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ravenswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Rubick
Rubick
Alexxo · 11 games
45%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
FrancisLee · 10 games
70%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Babitich · 10 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Chen · 8 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Sunlight · 8 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Sammyboy · 7 games
29%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
iAnnihilate · 6 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Babitich · 6 games
67%

Ravens

Rubick
Rubick
d1smar · 13 games
15%
Tiny
Tiny
d1smar · 12 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Cara · 11 games
64%
Visage
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 11 games
64%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Benjaz · 9 games
33%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 8 games
13%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
DaaD- · 8 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
d1smar · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
509 picks · 342 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
486 picks · 479 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
475 picks · 417 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
356 picks · 412 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
350 picks · 340 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
304 picks · 158 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
275 picks · 686 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
266 picks · 628 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:36
Wildcard Gaming 47%Ravens 53%
The model gave 53% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 39:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerSammyboy
46% · 82 games49% · 196 games
LinaParker
Lina
Marci
MarciSunlight
48% · 267 games48% · 224 games
PuckPiPi
Puck
Rubick
RubickFrancisLee
48% · 341 game50% · 162 games
BeastmasterBenjaz
Beastmaster
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinvelheor
57% · 119 games50% · 160 games
HoodwinkDemon
Hoodwink
56% · 67 games
SvenCara
Sven
Game 2prediction correct26:37
Wildcard Gaming 49%Ravens 51%
The model gave 51% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 36:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingSammyboy
48% · 154 games50% · 36 games
Phantom LancerParker
Phantom Lancer
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeFrancisLee
34% · 74 games49% · 62 games
ZeusPiPi
Zeus
Tusk
TuskSunlight
49% · 220 games52% · 256 games
Death ProphetBenjaz
Death Prophet
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorvelheor
51% · 147 games52% · 131 game
Primal BeastDemon
Primal Beast
58% · 110 games
DisruptorCara
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 53%
Series resultRavens 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2