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BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dreamersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 9 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 8 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 8 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Prada · 7 games
57%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Nuages · 7 games
43%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 7 games
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Frank · 6 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Hyko · 6 games
67%

Dreamers

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
507 picks · 341 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
485 picks · 478 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
474 picks · 416 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
353 picks · 411 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
349 picks · 340 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
302 picks · 157 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
275 picks · 685 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
265 picks · 628 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:29
Infinity Esports 59%Dreamers 41%
The model gave 59% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 51:27.
Game 2prediction correct49:30
Infinity Esports 59%Dreamers 41%
The model gave 59% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 47:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 59%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2