BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Alliance.LATAMloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 19 games
Tinysignature
Michael · 19 games
Snapfire
Matthew · 15 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Sacred · 12 games
Hoodwink
Michael · 11 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 11 games
Rubick
Michael · 11 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 10 games
Alliance.LATAM
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
505 picks · 339 bans
Tusk
485 picks · 476 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 415 bans
Treant Protector
353 picks · 408 bans
Mirana
348 picks · 338 bans
Snapfire
301 picks · 157 bans
Ember Spirit
274 picks · 683 bans
Pangolier
263 picks · 628 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total57% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:35
Thunder Awaken 57%Alliance.LATAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 56:13.
Game 2prediction correct32:29
Thunder Awaken 57%Alliance.LATAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 47:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 57%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2