Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Cloudloss 0:2series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Cloud
Tusk
mercy · 4 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Stariff · 3 games
Dazzle
QYQX · 2 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Dust · 2 games
Marcioften banned
QYQX · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Irving · 2 games
Zeusoften banned
Dust · 2 games
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
502 picks · 337 bans
Tusk
483 picks · 474 bans
Tiny
474 picks · 414 bans
Treant Protector
349 picks · 399 bans
Mirana
346 picks · 340 bans
Snapfire
299 picks · 157 bans
Ember Spirit
271 picks · 680 bans
Pangolier
261 picks · 628 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 80%
Hero pool strength56% Ybb Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:38
Team Cloud 16%Ybb Gaming 84%
The model gave 84% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 26:12.
Game 2prediction correct13:21
Team Cloud 16%Ybb Gaming 84%
The model gave 84% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 31:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 84%
Series resultYbb Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2