BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Darksideloss 1:2series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Virtus.prowin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Darkside
No games played over 6 months.
Virtus.pro
Tiny
sayuw · 17 games
Clockwerk
Dukalis · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 13 games
Rubick
sayuw · 13 games
Disruptor
Xakoda · 12 games
Linasignature
gpK~ · 12 games
Undyingoften banned
Xakoda · 12 games
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
489 picks · 331 bans
Tusk
482 picks · 467 bans
Tiny
468 picks · 411 bans
Mirana
343 picks · 335 bans
Treant Protector
339 picks · 388 bans
Snapfire
292 picks · 156 bans
Ember Spirit
265 picks · 668 bans
Pangolier
255 picks · 621 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total73% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:19
Darkside 27%Virtus.pro 73%
The model gave 73% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 30:37.
Game 2prediction correct6:24
Darkside 27%Virtus.pro 73%
The model gave 73% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 30:59.
Game 3prediction correct26:7
Darkside 27%Virtus.pro 73%
The model gave 73% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 17:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 73%
Series resultVirtus.pro 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3