BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Tinysignature
Michael · 20 games
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 19 games
Snapfire
Matthew · 15 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Sacred · 13 games
Hoodwink
Michael · 11 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 11 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 11 games
Rubick
Michael · 11 games
Wildcard Gaming
Rubick
Alexxo · 11 games
Snapfiresignature
Sammyboy · 10 games
Tinysignature
Babitich · 10 games
Clockwerk
Chen · 8 games
Doomoften banned
Sunlight · 8 games
Tusk
Sammyboy · 7 games
Batrideroften banned
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Babitich · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
479 picks · 326 bans
Tusk
476 picks · 463 bans
Tiny
461 picks · 408 bans
Mirana
338 picks · 331 bans
Treant Protector
332 picks · 380 bans
Snapfire
291 picks · 151 bans
Ember Spirit
262 picks · 663 bans
Pangolier
253 picks · 618 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 32%
Hero pool strength50% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:24
Thunder Awaken 62%Wildcard Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 41:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetSmiling Knight
Naga SirenArk
LeshracAlone
TidehunterSunlight
DoomILICH-
HoodwinkFrancisLee
ClockwerkMichael
Death ProphetSammyboy
JakiroAccel
Game 2prediction correct
Thunder Awaken 70%Wildcard Gaming 30%
The model gave 70% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 70%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2