BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Tusksignature
Malr1ne · 11 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 10 games
Rubicksignature
Hellscream · 10 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
so bad · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
Enchantressoften banned
so bad · 8 games
Phoenix
Hellscream · 8 games
Into The Breach
Crystal Maiden
Kidaro · 18 games
Tiny
Ari · 16 games
Lycansignature
Xibbe · 11 games
Pudgesignature
Otaker · 11 games
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 10 games
Dazzle
Kidaro · 9 games
Slarkoften banned
Otaker · 9 games
Pangolieroften banned
Xibbe · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
479 picks · 322 bans
Tusk
473 picks · 463 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 408 bans
Mirana
336 picks · 331 bans
Treant Protector
329 picks · 379 bans
Snapfire
289 picks · 150 bans
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 660 bans
Pangolier
253 picks · 617 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 21%
Hero pool strength51% Into The Breach
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:6
Nemiga Gaming 53%Into The Breach 47%
The model gave 53% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 33:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MarciKiritych
Phantom LancerOtaker
BatriderMalr1ne
Death ProphetXibbe
MagnusCorrupted
TuskSupream^
Treant ProtectorHellscream
Spirit BreakerImmersion
Undyingso bad
MiranaKidaro
Game 2prediction correct37:31
Nemiga Gaming 54%Into The Breach 46%
The model gave 54% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 49:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaMalr1ne
KunkkaSupream^
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
SlarkOtaker
Monkey KingKiritych
EnigmaXibbe
Treant ProtectorHellscream
TuskImmersion
Snapfireso bad
MiranaKidaro
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 59%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2